Depends on white balance and dominating colour in the scene, and raw data processing applied before displaying a histogram.
Referring to camera / converter histograms as a proof of something about raw doesn't work without accurate tests and presentation of the results.
As I said, the only way you can prove your method is by presenting a series of shots, raw, sequential, of a variety of scenes, indoors, outdoors, day, evening, including strongly coloured objects, taken in conditions that don't limit exposure (tripod, studio lights, etc. ) that are all exposed to the right. That's testing. What you are doing is not.
Basically, if you don't need/want a raw histogram (or think you don't need it), it's totally up to you. You can continue with the exposure guesswork. Others want/need raw histograms. One of the reasons why is that we want to be 100% sure about our exposure.